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Entries in Racehorse Breeding (14)

Monday
Dec312012

IF RACING AND BREEDING WERE SIMPLY COMMERCE

Summerhill Stud, Mooi River, South AfricaSummerhill Stud, Mooi River, South Africa
(Photo : Summerhill Archives)

“…if racing were simply commerce,
Karl Marx should’ve been its interpreter.”

The next few months at Summerhill will be characterised by plenty of reflection and some deep soul-searching. You may ask why, at the end of another great year, this team should be examining its business as critically as it is, when it’s operated off a winning formula for much of the past couple of decades. Despite it all, the one constant in our lives has been the reminder that you take nothing for granted. Besides horses, the thing that gets us up in the mornings is the memory that we’re in the luxury goods business, that nobody has to buy a racehorse when his mortgage is under threat, and that every customer, particularly in times like these, is a precious commodity. Breeding racehorses is a complex business, not only because of the structure of the racing industry as a whole and its attempt at being a sport on the one hand and a wagering business on the other, but especially because of the spectrum of its customers. In the first instance, there is an essentially democratic form to racing, which gives the little man the opportunity to level the playing fields. You couldn’t beat Harry Oppenheimer in the boardroom on Mondays, but you could certainly take him on at Turffontein on Saturdays. The other thing is that if you’re in the stallion game as well, your fellow breeders, your competitors at sales, are suddenly transformed into colleagues and customers in the breeding season, and so we all have to find a balance between competition and custom.

Besides, if racing were simply commerce, Karl Marx should’ve been its interpreter. As a financial proposition, it is about the redistribution of incomes. It is socialism in a form so subtle you hardly notice it. Hundreds of millions of rands are supplied each year by businessmen from Massachusetts to Mooi River, by surgeons and solicitors, gold miners and merchant bankers, and by tax avoiders from all over. The treasure they contribute is then redistributed slowly, little by little each month so it doesn’t look too obvious, to jockeys, trainers, vets and farriers, to clairvoyants, chiropractors and grooms, to bottlers of magic elixirs, feed merchants and float drivers. Eventually, the working classes have acquired most of the surplus income of the bourgeois. When the cycle starts, the horse people provide the experience and the owners the cash. When it’s complete, the horse people have the cash, and the owners have the experience.

And then we have the sales environment, where the dynamics playing themselves out in 2012 have been intriguing, to say the least. Just over a year ago, several leading commercial breeders in the Western Cape got together and formed Cape Thoroughbred Sales, the founding intent to centralize the country’s major sales in that region. The promise of a guaranteed early payment to breeders quickly captured something approaching 70% of the turnover in young horses in the country, and the death knell of the Thoroughbred Breeders Association’s sales arm, Bloodstock South Africa, seemed imminent. Indeed, the TBA’s financials at the end of their next reporting period looked especially precarious, and there was talk that if things did not improve, they had barely 18 months of reserves left. But more than three decades in this game tells us that there is something called “normal”, and that generally speaking, matters tend to gravitate in that direction with the passage of time. For those of us who believe that the broader market for racehorses resides largely in the vicinity of the commercial hub of the continent, Johannesburg, the thought that we may have no place to sell our horses outside of Cape Town and the knowledge that there are times of the year, when, because of the limitations imposed upon travel during the “horse sickness” period, many of us might not be able to get our products to any marketplace, was daunting.

The recognition ultimately, by both parties that there will always be a vibrant market in Johannesburg, came as a relief to those of us this side of the Hottentots Holland Mountains; there is room (and indeed a need) for both a Cape Premier Sale and a National Yearling Sale, and that is evident in the subscriptions for the 2013 sales programme, where a more even balance appears to have emerged. The performances of horses of the ilk of Soft Falling Rain (Cape graduate) at once handed the impetus to CTS, while the record success of BSA’s Emperors Palace Ready To Run and the “arrival” of a new star in Capetown Noir has reassured the market that there is still virtue in buying horses in Jo’burg.

If ever there were a statement that 2013 would bring hope to those who depend on this business for a living, it lay in the outcome of the Ready To Run, where our customers reminded us of their appreciation for the values we have in common: great quality, real dependability and excellent value, the things South Africans cherish most. The road forward may never be paved in gold, but for those who know and understand the people they serve, there is at least the promise of a future they can count on, and one which will keep them in business for as long as it takes for the fruits of prosperity to return to the national economy.

Having been there ourselves, we know what it is to be the underdog, we know the value of a handshake and the goodwill that accrues when you provide a good man in a pinch with some leeway rather than a visit from the sheriff. We have colleagues in this business who’ve mortgaged their farms in order to pay their stud fees, and if that’s not a sign of absolute dependability, then there isn’t one at all.

When we first started out in this business, stallion masters insisted upon payment of stud fees when a mare was tested in foal at 90 days. Quite apart from the risk of early foetal loss, the broodmare owner had to carry the cost of financing the service fee for close on 30 months, before seeing a return. Meanwhile, he had to repeat that dose twice more in the interim, and this was an undue burden. The notion of a “live foal” concession was nowhere in existence in those days, and it took this little Mooi River farm (as it was then) to invent the concept internationally. Today it’s pretty much the order of the day across the world, though it was years before the major producing countries of the Northern Hemisphere embraced the idea. Its effect was to transfer some of the risk from the broodmare owner to the stallion owner, and provide the former with a more equitable financial package. It still remains a burden however, and we guess the challenge now for stallion masters is to revisit this issue if we’re sincere in wishing prosperity on all of our colleagues as well. Traditionally, those of us who invest in stallion equity, employ a risk management template that seeks to return to the investor his capital outlay with the proceeds of three to four seasons in the breeding shed. It’s in every one of our interests to reduce the impact on the pockets of our customers, and to do that, we need to readdress the question of stud fees and the terms on which they’re paid. This may well demand a fresh look at the risk management profile adopted by stallion investors, and the transfer of a little more of the broodmare owner’s liability to the stallion owner, in an attempt to arrive at a more affordable balance.

That’s why we have a team of restless agitators here, always keen to shake up convention, and forever ready to take up the cudgels for the little fellows. In the end, Summerhill was built on the patronage of small breeders, and we haven’t forgotten.

Keep an eye on these columns; there’s more to come!

Summerhill Stud Logo

Enquiries :
Linda Norval +27 (0) 33 263 1081
or email linda@summerhill.co.za
www.summerhill.co.za

Thursday
Jul052012

THE WINTER WORKSHOP

Mike de Kock - Winter Workshop Lecturer

Mike de Kock - Guest Lecturer Winter Workshop 2012
(Photo : Tab Online)

SEATS ARE LIMITED.

The School of Excellence presents its annual Winter Workshop programme from 9-11th July 2012.
The line-up includes experts on equine genetics, economics,
racing and breeding.
“Life changing? For me, yes.” Alec Hogg, Winter School 2011.

Click here for the full
Winter Workshop programme.

BOOK NOW:
CALL HEATHER 082 871 6915

summerhill stud, south africa

Enquiries :
Email heather@summerhill.co.za
www.summerhill.co.za

Wednesday
May162012

THOROUGHBRED BREEDING : ACCIDENTS HAPPEN

Foveros Stallion

Foveros
(Photo : SportHorse-Data)

“A good pedigree belongs to a good horse.”
Terrance Millard

Mick GossMick Goss
Summerhill Stud CEO
As South African breeders contemplate life without Jet Master, inevitably our thoughts turn to alternatives, and because Jet Master was more mongrel than blood, we ask ourselves what constitutes a good pedigree. I asked the many-times champion trainer, Terrance Millard that question while he was inspecting yearlings for the TBA some fifteen years ago, and his answer was short (and to the point), “I’ve been in this game more than fifty years, and I’ve come to the conclusion that a good pedigree belongs to a good horse”.

Humbug attends arguments about horse breeding the way an egret dwells on a tick-blown ox. Another great South African stallion of more than two decades ago, Foveros, unfashionably bred and stained yellow by the summer sun, rampaged as a racehorse through the Cape Town season like a wounded buffalo through the reeds. As always, you go home and pour over his pedigree. You go back six generations, and you look through 126 ancestors. No neon lights flash, there is no grand clue. That’s alright. Racing would be as interesting as quantum physics if it were burdened with mathematical certainty. You’re happy to conclude that Foveros, like Jet Master, had something greater than blood and conformation. They had the great tick of the heart. In sport that’s enough: rare talents are rarely fathomable.

Nonsense, says the breeding purist, who bails you up at the races the next week. It is the usual confrontation. The theorist is vaguely hysterical. You are vaguely surly and pretend you need to go to the tote. The interrogation begins. “Didn’t you see all that Hyperion in the pedigree? Three doses of it. Three! And Hyperion’s close relative All Moonshine, is in there too”. I recall the fact to him that I’ve bred many horses with that many doses of Hyperion’s family, with less than inspiring outcomes. You ask yourself why these buffs can’t tell you these things in advance, before Foveros and Jet Master became famous. We could’ve cleaned up at long odds. Truth is, they can’t, and it’s all rather tiresome. I’m sure that when Pat Devine picked Jet Master as a foal at the old Natal Mare and Weanling Sale, she hadn’t bothered to check the co-efficiency of the colt’s inbreeding.

We don’t assail our clients with dosage or linebreeding theories here at Summerhill, but we breed and raise top-class winners by the hundreds. Over at Highlands, when Graham Beck presided over the champion stallions, National Assembly, Jallad and Badger Land, all at one time, they didn’t discuss their success in terms of the “international outcross” their pedigrees represented. Both farms have owned the national breeders’ title many times.

We are, therefore, in favour of anyone who can offer serious thoughts about breeding without the humbug. Someone who knows about the caprices of nature as well as the laws of Mendel, someone who knows that nothing can make a fool of you more comprehensively than a thoroughbred. Which is why I’ve always been greatly taken (and impressed) by the simple logic of Thoroughbred Breeding: Notes and Comments. Its author, Sir Mordaunt Milner, cuts through humbug like a flail mulcher.

Milner failed at Leeds University because he went to the races instead of to lectures. He then immigrated to South Africa where he was a stipendiary steward, a novelist, a breeder of classic winners, and sales-topping yearlings. The back dust-jacket of the book catches Milner’s breezy fatalism. It shows him bridling his riding hack. The caption says “This filly was bought as a yearling in a season before her full brother won the New Zealand Derby - what good luck! She never won a race: she never had a foal, what bad luck! That’s racing”. Do not be misled. The book is a considerable piece of scholarship. It brings a fresh mind and a deft pen to all the usual things: nicks and crosses, prepotency, dosages, how to select a mare and how to find the right mate for her. It is never boring, never superficial. But you always have the feeling that here was a man who had read all the books and knew all the theory, but who had also stood in a paddock, looked at a sad little foal who was all wrong, and said to himself there is a time when all this theory is “bunk”.

Here are a few of his smartest observations:

  • “When a mare is offered for sale one frequently reads the following sort of comment beneath the displayed pedigree: ‘The next dam is So and So, a daughter of Thingamabob tracing to Paraffin’. This means the mare will have the famous mare Paraffin (1870) in the eighth or ninth generation and the influence will be as remote as an ancestor who came over on the Mayflower to his or her descendant in the Senate or in the Bowery… This sort of announcement is as meaningless as putting the family number after the name of a horse. It is… a lot of bull.”
  • “At a poultry show, a young fancier asked what was the difference between inbreeding and line-breeding. An older one answered: ‘Well son, it’s this way. If you keep on breeding with your own birds and you are successful, you speak of line-breeding. But, if your results are bad, you can blame it on inbreeding’.”
  • “The commercial breeder has to breed a yearling that can walk well enough to satisfy the buyers; whether it can gallop as well is then the buyer’s problem”.
  • “If you’re going back seven generations to support a theory, you might as well go back eight”.
  • “There is no relationship between size and ability on the racecourse, but one thing is sure: there is a definite correlation between size and price at the yearling sales”.
  • “How many mares do you need to start a stud and how do you choose them? Only one, provided you pick the right one. Both the Childwick Bury and the Aga Khan’s stud would still have been known world-wide if the only mares they had started with had been Absurdity and Mumtaz Mahal”.

As you can see, Milner was a pragmatist, but he pulled up well short of saying that breeding is all luck. His theme is that by sifting the evidence intelligently you can improve your luck. The words of the great American breeder, John Gaines, (whose farm Gainesway, the Beck family owns today) often seemed close to the Milner approach. Gaines once said “It’s really the game of percentages, a game of getting many little things working for you. Every little plus gives you a higher probability than someone else has”. You’ve heard that many times at Summerhill.

The passage I like best in the book belongs not to Milner, but to Phil Bull, founder of Timeform, whose wisdom was also contained in our previous piece entitled ‘From Pauper to Princess’. It goes like this: “Anyone who thinks he can breed a champion by sitting down with a split-pedigree book to find an ideal mating based on inbreeding or crosses of this or that, just isn’t in touch with reality. Every “great” horse is (by definition) a rarity whose superior genetic make-up is the result of a statistically improbable accident. You may hope for and solicit such accidents, nothing more.”

Which brings me back to Foveros. I may have that quotation printed on a card. Next time the breeding theorist hectors me about Foveros and Hyperion, I can simply hand the card to him. On reflection, that won’t work. He is sure to say that Phil Bull is notorious for his lack of knowledge about Hyperion in the fourth generation.

summerhill stud, south africa

Enquiries :
www.summerhill.co.za

Tuesday
May082012

THE THOROUGHBRED : THE NOBLEST CREATURE ON EARTH

Mick Goss speaking about The Thoroughbred Racehorse

Click above to watch Mick Goss speaking on Lifeblood Of Racing…
(Image and Footage : Tellytrack)

Lifeblood Of Racing

summerhill stud, south africa

Enquiries :
Linda Norval 27 (0) 33 263 1081
or email linda@summerhill.co.za
www.summerhill.co.za

Wednesday
Feb222012

GENETICS : THE NEW REVOLUTION

Thoroughbred Genetics
Thoroughbred Genetics
(Image : UCSD / TBWP)

THOROUGHBRED BREEDING
“A NEW UNDERSTANDING”

annet becker - broodmare and foal managerAnnet Becker Broodmare & Foal ManagerModern genetic theory as we know it, started with Gregor Johann Mendel, a German-Czech Augustinian monk and scientist, who studied the nature of inheritance in plants. The importance of Mendel’s work did not gain wide understanding until the 1890s, after his death, when other scientists, researching similar issues, re-discovered its value.

Currently, yields in the dairy and meat industries are being significantly enhanced through the application of molecular genetics in identifying breeding stock better able to pass on desired traits. It’s only logical then, that Thoroughbred breeders, so long plagued by confounding theories, should be looking in the same direction. Indeed, the most confounding thing is that it’s taken the racehorse community so long to “twig”, though it’s arguable we’ve chosen to be confused by a litany of outrageous (but romantically appealing) theories, as well as having little appreciation of the science behind genetics.

Very few articles on Thoroughbred breeding reveal an understanding of genetics. It remains the norm among readers of pedigrees, that the components are seen as names alone, and they’re only guessing at their importance. At the same time, many of us have been befuddled by the marketing impression generated by the page of a catalogue, into believing the female line is all-powerful, when it is in fact no more than a 50% contributor to the genetic composition of the animal.

In a recent publication on pedigree theories and genetics by one of the great turf writers of all time, Tony Morris and Dr. Matthew Binns (Thoroughbred Breeding - Pedigree Theories and the Science of Genetics), they provide a fresh insight into the correlation between genetics and pedigrees. “From a scientist’s perspective, genetics is really only another word for pedigree, but one that potentially provides more detailed and accurate information about the chances of producing the desired outcome than that of names on a page, the analyst’s usual stock-in-trade.”

In several scientific studies calculating the genetic contribution to race performance in Thoroughbreds, the results generally suggest that approximately one third is genetic, while the rest is attributable to an assortment of factors, labelled “environmental”, things such as horsemanship, nutrition, environmental management, veterinary care and training, amongst others. That’s encouraging for those of us who do not have piles of cash. The rich can always afford what they want genetically, but if you’re constrained by budgets, you have to rely upon your wits and energies in managing the remaining 67% better than most.

During the reproduction process, a shuffling of chromosomes takes place between the egg and the sperm cell, which creates a unique genetic entity. The possible combinations of chromosomes in identical matings are thus immense. The unrealistic expectations of most of us horse breeders are shown in the repetition of previously successful matings, whereas the average chromosomes shared between full siblings is at best only 50 per cent, but in reality closer to 25 per cent (1 in 4) in the practical scheme of things.

Breeders also seem to have a false idea of the exact contribution ancestors in a horse’s pedigree make to the actual individual; for example the names of famous horses in the fifth generation are often afforded reverential weight, simply because they’re famous.

CHROMOSOMAL AND GENETIC CONTRIBUTIONS
DOWN THE GENERATIONS

Generation Ancestors in that Generation Average % Contribution
from each
Average Number of Chromosome
transmitted per Ancestor
1 2 50.00* 32.00*
2 4 25.00 16.00
3 8 12.50 8.00
4 16 6.25 4.00
5 32 3.13 2.00
6 64 1.56 1.00
7 128 0.78 0.50
8 256 0.39 0.25
9 512 0.19 0.12

*Actual contribution

This table shows that at the parental generation, the number of chromosomes is fixed, but in the other generations the genetic contributions are based on average transmission. At the sixth generation, an individual has sixty-four ancestors, which on average will contribute just one chromosome to the individual. Studies have however, shown that at that level, some ancestors do not contribute any genetic material to an individual.

These studies reveal (for the first time really) the illogical nature of so many ‘breeding theories’ out there. In a sense, they expose the bare truth about the effectiveness (or relative lack of it,) which the deliberate coupling of ancestors several generations back, holds. That means inbreeding per se, can be pointless, unless it involves ancestors whose descendants are known to carry the factors we’re looking to reproduce; these nicks, if they exist at all, are far less common than many would like to believe.

This brings us back to the point that Thoroughbred breeding should be more about the matching of individuals, the parent stock, for rational reasons, than a game played with names on a page. Without wishing to be too smug about it, matching two individuals for the right reasons, with the aspiration of creating the best result from the two parents, has been Summerhill’s practice for years. The physical attributes, temperament, performance, soundness, speed, stamina, mental strength, physical durability, are the attributes that go into the making of a good horse; and oh! let’s not forget the instincts of the stockman, the one that’s closer to his animals, that understands their individuality and knows their idiosyncrasies, and how to bring them up. That’s all part of the other 67%!

summerhill stud, south africa

www.summerhill.co.za

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